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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable : ウィキペディア英語版 | The Black Swan (Taleb book)
''The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable'' is a book by the essayist, scholar and statistician Nassim Nicholas Taleb. It was released on April 17, 2007 by Random House. The book focuses on the extreme impact of certain kinds of rare and unpredictable events (outliers) and humans' tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events retrospectively. This theory has since become known as the black swan theory. The book also covers subjects relating to knowledge, aesthetics, and ways of life, and uses elements of fiction in making its points. The book first edition appeared in 2007 and was a commercial success. It spent 36 weeks on the ''New York Times'' best-seller list. The second, expanded edition appeared in 2010. ==Overview: Black Swan theory== Taleb, bestselling author of ''Fooled by Randomness'', treats uncertainty and randomness as a single idea. See Black swan theory for Taleb's definition of a Black Swan event.
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